Enhanced time series forecasting by means of dynamics boosting for industrial process monitoring

  • Daniel Zurita
  • , Enric Sala
  • , Jesús A. Carino
  • , Miguel Delgado
  • , Juan A. Ortega

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Time series forecasting represents a critical factor, mainly in the industrial sector, in order to assure the proper operation of the manufacturing processes. In this work, a classical ANFIS forecasting scheme is enhanced by the proposal of a dynamics boosting strategy. First, the objective signal is decomposed by means of the Empirical Mode to highlight the main characteristics functions. Next, the dynamics of the functions in regard to the performance of the ANFIS is analyzed. Thus, the functions are separated into different sets. Then, the forecasting is faced with the employment of multiple ANFIS models focused on different dynamics modes. The performance of the proposed system is validated experimentally. According to the obtained results, the proposed approach outperforms the classical methods and represents a reliable and feasible methodology suitable to multiple applications.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - SDEMPED 2015
Subtitle of host publicationIEEE 10th International Symposium on Diagnostics for Electrical Machines, Power Electronics and Drives
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages212-218
Number of pages7
ISBN (Electronic)9781479977437
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 21 Oct 2015
Externally publishedYes
Event10th IEEE International Symposium on Diagnostics for Electrical Machines, Power Electronics and Drives, SDEMPED 2015 - Guarda, Portugal
Duration: 1 Sept 20154 Sept 2015

Publication series

NameProceedings - SDEMPED 2015: IEEE 10th International Symposium on Diagnostics for Electrical Machines, Power Electronics and Drives

Conference

Conference10th IEEE International Symposium on Diagnostics for Electrical Machines, Power Electronics and Drives, SDEMPED 2015
Country/TerritoryPortugal
CityGuarda
Period1/09/154/09/15

Keywords

  • Artificial intelligence
  • Condition monitoring
  • Fuzzy neural networks
  • Machine learning
  • Predictive models
  • Prognosis
  • Time series analysis

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