Time series forecasting by means of SOM aided Fuzzy Inference Systems

  • Daniel Zurita
  • , Jesús A. Carino
  • , Enric Sala
  • , Miguel Delgado-Prieto
  • , Juan A. Ortega

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The forecast of industrial process time series represents a critical factor in order to assure a proper operation of the whole manufacturing chain, as it allows to act against any process deviation before it affects the final manufactured product. In this paper, in order to take advantage from process relations and improve forecasting performance, a prediction method based in Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Self-Organizing Maps is presented. The novelties of the proposed method are based on considering, as an input of an ANFIS model, the interrelations of process variables regarding the signal that wants to be forecasted, by means of topology preservation SOM. An experimental study performed with real industrial data from a cooper manufacturing plant indicated the suitability of the proposed method in time series forecasting applications.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2015 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Technology, ICIT 2015
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages1772-1778
Number of pages7
EditionJune
ISBN (Electronic)9781479978007
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 16 Jun 2015
Externally publishedYes
Event2015 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Technology, ICIT 2015 - Seville, Spain
Duration: 17 Mar 201519 Mar 2015

Publication series

NameProceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Industrial Technology
NumberJune
Volume2015-June

Conference

Conference2015 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Technology, ICIT 2015
Country/TerritorySpain
CitySeville
Period17/03/1519/03/15

Keywords

  • Artificial intelligence
  • Condition monitoring
  • Fuzzy neural networks
  • Machine learning
  • Predictive models
  • Prognosis
  • Time series analysis

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